Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.026863 0.028951 0.031049 0.033311 0.035677 0.038078 0.040693
2025-11-23 0.022717 0.025963 0.029344 0.033114 0.037186 0.041440 0.046205
2025-11-30 0.020217 0.024116 0.028282 0.033037 0.038285 0.043874 0.050248
2025-12-07 0.017999 0.022312 0.027029 0.032523 0.038697 0.045379 0.053112
2025-12-14 0.016116 0.020712 0.025847 0.031937 0.038893 0.046527 0.055473
2025-12-21 0.014394 0.019165 0.024605 0.031171 0.038784 0.047247 0.057278
2025-12-28 0.013700 0.018766 0.024639 0.031822 0.040250 0.049709 0.061017
2026-01-04 0.012792 0.018046 0.024239 0.031918 0.041032 0.051361 0.063810
2026-01-11 0.011877 0.017258 0.023709 0.031815 0.041544 0.052670 0.066188
2026-01-18 0.011406 0.016994 0.023786 0.032416 0.042868 0.054911 0.069633
2026-01-25 0.010667 0.016345 0.023354 0.032369 0.043395 0.056200 0.071961
2026-02-01 0.009999 0.015751 0.022959 0.032339 0.043919 0.057470 0.074253
2026-02-08 0.009315 0.015135 0.022553 0.032330 0.044523 0.058907 0.076840
2026-02-15 0.008590 0.014435 0.022021 0.032154 0.044925 0.060116 0.079186
2026-02-22 0.007971 0.013839 0.021591 0.032077 0.045426 0.061427 0.081639
2026-03-01 0.007238 0.013040 0.020853 0.031573 0.045365 0.062034 0.083233
2026-03-08 0.006540 0.012247 0.020088 0.030998 0.045187 0.062477 0.084610
2026-03-15 0.005840 0.011404 0.019215 0.030247 0.044754 0.062581 0.085556
2026-03-22 0.005652 0.011325 0.019391 0.030886 0.046101 0.064890 0.089197
2026-03-29 0.005304 0.010976 0.019172 0.030980 0.046735 0.066306 0.091745
2026-04-05 0.004922 0.010548 0.018821 0.030879 0.047102 0.067381 0.093867
2026-04-12 0.004766 0.010476 0.018977 0.031468 0.048373 0.069594 0.097404
2026-04-19 0.004441 0.010106 0.018683 0.031422 0.048798 0.070733 0.099607